general 2026-01-14 · Updated 2026-01-14

The Intelligence Inflation Loop

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This is not a moral argument. It is a mechanical sequence. When intelligence is tokenized, priced per unit, and made abundant, the following dynamics follow a predictable trajectory.

1. Compression (Euphoria)

The initial phase is defined by the removal of friction. Tasks that required coordination, time, and human cognition are compressed into near-instantaneous outputs. This produces a temporary spike in measured productivity, creating an illusion of wealth as systemic constraints briefly loosen.

2. Relative Inflation

The market price of intelligence-based output trends toward its marginal cost: zero. However, the physical world—energy, land, minerals, and human time—remains tethered to the constraints of atoms and entropy. Consequently, the physical world becomes exponentially more expensive relative to the digital. Purchasing power does not rise; it is merely redistributed.

3. Red-Queen Wage Pressure

As the value of a cognitive unit falls, the human laborer must compensate through volume. Workers are required to increase throughput and expand scope to maintain a fixed economic position. The marginal effort required to remain relevant rises, while the compensation for that effort remains flat.

4. Balance-Sheet Realignment

Firms reduce headcount as a mathematical necessity, not an ideological preference. If intelligence is an abundant commodity, the only remaining lever for margin preservation is the elimination of human cost. The employee is transitioned from a value-driver to a cost-center.

5. Accrual to Infrastructure

Total labor income declines as a percentage of GDP. Earnings shift from those who perform work to those who own the "printing presses": platforms, hardware manufacturers, and energy providers. Averages may improve on paper, but participation in the harvest narrows to a small subset of asset holders.

6. Information Entropy (The Slop)

The zero-cost production of intelligence floods the environment with low-signal noise. Because human attention is the only finite resource in the loop, it becomes the target of an automated "race to the bottom." As the signal-to-noise ratio collapses, the human element does not adapt; it withdraws. Users opt out of the commons, leading to a collapse in engagement.

7. Demand Destruction

Concentrated wealth at the top of the hierarchy cannot sustain a mass-consumption economy. One thousand automated systems do not buy consumer goods. Demand weakens despite high output. Growth becomes a ghost—a metric that continues to rise while being entirely detached from the purchasing power of the populace.

8. Structural Stagnation

A state characterized by high complexity and rising precarity. Productivity remains high on a chart, but the lived experience is one of erosion. The system functions with high efficiency but offers no upward mobility or economic security for the median participant.

9. Demographic Failure

When labor ceases to be a primary source of meaning or social integration, the society loses its impulse to reproduce. We see this in high-productivity, low-growth economies: declining fertility and social withdrawal. Without a mechanism to connect work to purpose, the system responds through insularity or external conflict to re-establish coordination.


The Boundary of Negentropy

In thermodynamics, a closed system cannot generate negentropy—the force of order—from within. It can only rearrange its existing energy until it reaches heat death.

When a system produces only intelligence, it cannot solve the problems that intelligence creates. Attempting to fix this crisis through "tech-only" solutions or further optimization is a recursive error. It does not provide a cure; it merely accelerates the speed of the loop.

Any restoration of order must be imported from outside the system. It cannot come from more output or more efficiency. It requires a hard contact with the reality beyond the loop: external constraints, human values, and the recognition of things that cannot be tokenized.

He who has ears, let him hear.